Prop 43 — Limits Voters' Ability To Raise Revenues For Local Government Services — Statewide Dashboard
Latest data: 2026-11-07
Projected to fail
Needs Majority Yes (statewide propositions pass by simple majority)
Yes counted: 43.2%Yes projected: 43.2% (range 42.0% to 44.4%)
Statewide Yes share, projected with the blend model. The range is a ~90% band calibrated on statewide contests.
Ballot Counting
Ballots Processed
10,517,407
Contest Votes
9,979,077
94.9% of processed
Outstanding
3,134,692
Est. remaining (projected finals)
SOS est. remaining: 3,996,131 · Nov 6, 5:35 PMdriving projections
% Counted
77.0%
processed of projected turnout
Running Totals
No
5,669,139
56.8%
Yes
4,309,938
43.2%
Projected Finals (SOS Outstanding Ballots)
pool: 3,134,692 · full breakdown →No
7,370,170
56.8% ± 1.2
+1,701,031 est.
Yes
5,598,828
43.2% ± 1.2
+1,288,890 est.
Projected margin No +13.7 ± 1.7 pts · lead exceeds band · ~90% interval
Share of the Vote, and Where It’s Headed
Noproj. 56.8% ±1.2Yesproj. 43.2% ±1.2Counted shareProjection, ~90% band
Counting Progress — Over Time
Candidate Vote Totals — Over Time
Outstanding Ballots by County (Top 20)
Color: green ≥90% counted · amber ≥70% · red <70%
County Breakdown
| County | Outstanding | % Counted | Proj. Votes (blend) | Last Report | No | Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 403,544 | 68.7% | 1,231,576 | 12 AM | 435,528(51.5%)→ 652,378 (53.0%) | 410,711(48.5%)→ 579,198 (47.0%) |
| Riverside | 355,152 | 57.3% | 796,520 | 4:37 PM | 226,433(49.6%)→ 402,124 (50.5%) | 229,844(50.4%)→ 394,396 (49.5%) |
| Sacramento | 241,111 | 59.9% | 562,046 | 12 AM | 190,305(56.5%)→ 324,961 (57.8%) | 146,297(43.5%)→ 237,085 (42.2%) |
| Santa Clara | 216,968 | 66.9% | 625,523 | 5:47 PM | 236,605(56.6%)→ 357,153 (57.1%) | 181,760(43.4%)→ 268,370 (42.9%) |
| Los Angeles | 179,924 | 94.4% | 3,026,179 | 4:49 PM | 1,810,006(63.4%)→ 1,925,312 (63.6%) | 1,047,134(36.6%)→ 1,100,867 (36.4%) |
| Orange | 167,920 | 85.7% | 1,107,235 | 5:47 PM | 453,768(47.8%)→ 535,582 (48.4%) | 494,930(52.2%)→ 571,653 (51.6%) |
| Alameda | 148,090 | 74.5% | 553,914 | 12 AM | 282,153(68.4%)→ 384,042 (69.3%) | 130,526(31.6%)→ 169,872 (30.7%) |
| Ventura | 145,391 | 60.6% | 356,339 | 12 AM | 113,859(52.7%)→ 189,527 (53.2%) | 102,208(47.3%)→ 166,812 (46.8%) |
| Kern | 120,264 | 53.4% | 258,235 | 12 AM | 66,169(48.0%)→ 123,846 (48.0%) | 71,802(52.0%)→ 134,389 (52.0%) |
| Fresno | 102,776 | 61.9% | 257,111 | 12 AM | 79,694(50.1%)→ 128,786 (50.1%) | 79,409(49.9%)→ 128,325 (49.9%) |
| Sonoma | 102,033 | 51.4% | 200,643 | 12 AM | 65,840(63.8%)→ 128,054 (63.8%) | 37,322(36.2%)→ 72,589 (36.2%) |
| San Mateo | 100,000 | 64.2% | 262,155 | 12 AM | 101,790(60.5%)→ 160,349 (61.2%) | 66,584(39.5%)→ 101,806 (38.8%) |
| Contra Costa | 69,550 | 84.6% | 431,071 | 12 AM | 220,863(60.6%)→ 262,717 (60.9%) | 143,691(39.4%)→ 168,354 (39.1%) |
| Marin | 62,770 | 52.6% | 123,241 | 12 AM | 42,144(65.0%)→ 80,167 (65.0%) | 22,644(35.0%)→ 43,074 (35.0%) |
| Santa Barbara | 61,745 | 61.9% | 156,010 | 12 AM | 57,875(59.9%)→ 93,491 (59.9%) | 38,702(40.1%)→ 62,519 (40.1%) |
| Stanislaus | 59,887 | 62.7% | 153,363 | 12 AM | 46,336(48.2%)→ 73,950 (48.2%) | 49,759(51.8%)→ 79,413 (51.8%) |
| Placer | 59,706 | 70.4% | 192,294 | 12 AM | 59,134(43.7%)→ 85,128 (44.3%) | 76,295(56.3%)→ 107,166 (55.7%) |
| Tulare | 55,133 | 58.7% | 129,364 | 12 AM | 34,991(46.1%)→ 61,256 (47.4%) | 40,904(53.9%)→ 68,108 (52.6%) |
| San Luis Obispo | 54,407 | 59.6% | 128,512 | 12 AM | 39,033(51.0%)→ 64,691 (50.3%) | 37,516(49.0%)→ 63,821 (49.7%) |
| San Joaquin | 44,185 | 79.1% | 201,575 | 12 AM | 82,296(51.6%)→ 105,477 (52.3%) | 77,162(48.4%)→ 96,098 (47.7%) |
| San Bernardino | 34,158 | 94.3% | 573,873 | 5:53 PM | 283,291(52.4%)→ 301,305 (52.5%) | 257,660(47.6%)→ 272,568 (47.5%) |
| Napa | 30,546 | 44.4% | 52,626 | 12 AM | 13,815(59.2%)→ 32,496 (61.7%) | 9,530(40.8%)→ 20,130 (38.3%) |
| Monterey | 28,122 | 78.1% | 122,824 | 12 AM | 60,637(63.2%)→ 78,016 (63.5%) | 35,312(36.8%)→ 44,808 (36.5%) |
| Shasta | 26,047 | 59.2% | 61,699 | 12 AM | 14,495(39.7%)→ 25,127 (40.7%) | 22,054(60.3%)→ 36,572 (59.3%) |
| Yolo | 24,639 | 69.7% | 77,381 | 12:08 AM | 35,558(65.9%)→ 51,076 (66.0%) | 18,387(34.1%)→ 26,305 (34.0%) |
| Merced | 24,548 | 67.1% | 70,443 | 12 AM | 25,229(53.4%)→ 37,982 (53.9%) | 22,049(46.6%)→ 32,461 (46.1%) |
| Humboldt | 24,463 | 50.9% | 47,769 | 12 AM | 15,536(63.8%)→ 30,494 (63.8%) | 8,801(36.2%)→ 17,275 (36.2%) |
| Butte | 20,269 | 74.6% | 76,445 | 12 AM | 27,531(48.3%)→ 36,895 (48.3%) | 29,512(51.7%)→ 39,550 (51.7%) |
| Santa Cruz | 18,266 | 84.5% | 111,078 | 4:37 PM | 65,371(69.7%)→ 77,656 (69.9%) | 28,462(30.3%)→ 33,422 (30.1%) |
| Madera | 17,837 | 62.4% | 45,761 | 12 AM | 13,044(45.7%)→ 20,898 (45.7%) | 15,519(54.3%)→ 24,863 (54.3%) |
| Sutter | 16,130 | 50.7% | 31,088 | 12 AM | 6,702(42.5%)→ 13,527 (43.5%) | 9,063(57.5%)→ 17,561 (56.5%) |
| Nevada | 15,300 | 71.5% | 51,722 | 12 AM | 19,762(53.4%)→ 27,699 (53.6%) | 17,227(46.6%)→ 24,023 (46.4%) |
| Mendocino | 14,749 | 54.4% | 30,800 | 12 AM | 10,888(65.0%)→ 20,009 (65.0%) | 5,872(35.0%)→ 10,791 (35.0%) |
| El Dorado | 14,677 | 84.6% | 90,223 | 12 AM | 31,450(41.2%)→ 37,033 (41.0%) | 44,862(58.8%)→ 53,190 (59.0%) |
| Lake | 14,167 | 35.4% | 20,910 | 12 AM | 4,146(56.0%)→ 11,718 (56.0%) | 3,252(44.0%)→ 9,192 (44.0%) |
| San Francisco | 13,050 | 96.2% | 319,565 | 4:17 PM | 199,671(64.9%)→ 207,828 (65.0%) | 107,825(35.1%)→ 111,737 (35.0%) |
| San Benito | 10,381 | 55.7% | 22,780 | 12 AM | 6,969(55.0%)→ 12,692 (55.7%) | 5,708(45.0%)→ 10,088 (44.3%) |
| Imperial | 10,239 | 73.8% | 37,543 | 12 AM | 15,342(55.4%)→ 21,122 (56.3%) | 12,357(44.6%)→ 16,421 (43.7%) |
| Solano | 10,153 | 93.5% | 149,178 | 12 AM | 84,298(60.5%)→ 90,426 (60.6%) | 55,152(39.5%)→ 58,752 (39.4%) |
| Tehama | 4,106 | 80.7% | 20,287 | 12 AM | 6,561(40.1%)→ 8,131 (40.1%) | 9,809(59.9%)→ 12,156 (59.9%) |
| Glenn | 3,537 | 61.3% | 8,795 | 12 AM | 1,996(37.0%)→ 3,255 (37.0%) | 3,397(63.0%)→ 5,540 (63.0%) |
| Kings | 1,780 | 94.9% | 33,630 | 12 AM | 14,731(46.2%)→ 15,525 (46.2%) | 17,179(53.8%)→ 18,105 (53.8%) |
| Yuba | 1,494 | 93.9% | 23,236 | 5:47 PM | 9,421(43.2%)→ 10,055 (43.3%) | 12,387(56.8%)→ 13,181 (56.7%) |
| Del Norte | 1,366 | 83.9% | 8,100 | 12 AM | 3,280(48.2%)→ 3,883 (47.9%) | 3,519(51.8%)→ 4,217 (52.1%) |
| Siskiyou | 902 | 94.8% | 16,474 | 12 AM | 7,211(46.2%)→ 7,599 (46.1%) | 8,409(53.8%)→ 8,875 (53.9%) |
| Modoc | 766 | 76.2% | 3,059 | 12 AM | 912(39.1%)→ 1,197 (39.1%) | 1,419(60.9%)→ 1,862 (60.9%) |
| Colusa | 747 | 85.5% | 4,894 | 12 AM | 2,013(48.1%)→ 2,355 (48.1%) | 2,170(51.9%)→ 2,539 (51.9%) |
| Calaveras | 342 | 98.4% | 20,523 | 12 AM | 8,235(40.8%)→ 8,365 (40.8%) | 11,964(59.2%)→ 12,158 (59.2%) |
| Lassen | 289 | 96.8% | 8,662 | 12 AM | 2,917(34.8%)→ 3,015 (34.8%) | 5,470(65.2%)→ 5,647 (65.2%) |
| Trinity | 233 | 95.1% | 4,497 | 12 AM | 2,284(53.4%)→ 2,401 (53.4%) | 1,995(46.6%)→ 2,096 (46.6%) |
| Mariposa | 197 | 97.5% | 7,624 | 12 AM | 3,234(43.5%)→ 3,316 (43.5%) | 4,201(56.5%)→ 4,308 (56.5%) |
| Tuolumne | 193 | 99.2% | 22,735 | 12 AM | 9,497(42.1%)→ 9,573 (42.1%) | 13,054(57.9%)→ 13,162 (57.9%) |
| Inyo | 153 | 98.0% | 7,068 | 12 AM | 3,604(52.0%)→ 3,678 (52.0%) | 3,322(48.0%)→ 3,390 (48.0%) |
| Mono | 145 | 97.2% | 4,825 | 12 AM | 2,738(58.4%)→ 2,817 (58.4%) | 1,951(41.6%)→ 2,008 (41.6%) |
| Plumas | 125 | 98.5% | 7,994 | 12 AM | 3,673(46.6%)→ 3,729 (46.6%) | 4,201(53.4%)→ 4,265 (53.4%) |
| Alpine | 19 | 96.8% | 546 | 12 AM | 325(61.6%)→ 336 (61.5%) | 203(38.4%)→ 210 (38.5%) |
| Sierra | 1 | 99.9% | 1,451 | 12 AM | 629(43.4%)→ 629 (43.3%) | 821(56.6%)→ 822 (56.7%) |
| Amador | 0 | 100.0% | 17,984 | 12 AM | 7,321(40.7%)→ 7,321 (40.7%) | 10,663(59.3%)→ 10,663 (59.3%) |