US House — District 11 — Head to Head

Based on data as of 2026-11-07 · General mode · Dashboard

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District projection: each county's remaining ballots are split among the districts in it in proportion to the votes each has counted there so far. Where a district takes in a whole county no split is needed; where a county is divided, this assumes its remaining ballots divide like its counted ones, so the band is wider than statewide. Each part's remaining votes split like the votes it has counted since election night, pulled toward the late-shift pattern's target in a Democrat-vs-Republican race. The counties below are this district's part of each county.

1st vs 2nd

Wiener(D) favored

Scott Wiener(D)

53.8%

153,339 votes now

→ 53.8% proj · 159,139

Connie Chan(D)

46.2%

131,492 votes now

→ 46.2% proj · 136,872

Current gap

21,847 votes

Projected remaining

11,180 votes

Chan(D) must net

more than the remaining vote

Recent-trend net (model)

-2.5%

Projected margin

Wiener(D) +7.5 ± 0.4 pts

The 21,847-vote gap exceeds the projected remaining vote — not closable from the count alone.

What the count added · to Nov 7, 4:01 PM PT

Window	Votes	Wiener(D)	Chan(D)	Chan(D) net
Latest update1 county	21,106	51.3%	48.7%	-534-2.5%
All counted	284,831	53.8%	46.2%	-21,847-7.7%

Net share is Chan's votes minus Wiener's, as a share of the window's votes. Green when it meets the +195.4% Chan needs on the remaining vote.

Path to catch up

What Chan needs from the remaining vote to overtake Wiener.

Chan trails by 21,847; nets -420 from the remaining vote in the projection — short by 22,267 votes. Not achievable from the movable counties: Chan winning every remaining vote there adds ≈ 11,600.

Allocate by

by remaining x headroom to 51% (Chan's best county, 46%, plus 5 pts)

County	Est. remaining	Proj. net (Chan)	Req. add’l votes	Req. add’l margin
San Francisco	11,180	-420	+11,600all remaining	+103.8 pts

Proj. net is the projection's split of each county's remaining vote, as in the projected totals; the required lift is what Chan needs beyond it. Scenario, not a forecast — the lift depends on the movability assumption. All counties with remaining vote; scroll and sort by any column.

Where the remaining vote is

Counties with remaining ballots, with the current and blend-projected vote margin (leader − challenger) for each matchup. A negative margin in a high-remaining county is where the trailing candidate can gain. Click any column to sort.

County	Est. remaining	Wiener–Chan
		Now	Proj.
San Francisco	11,180	+21,847	+22,267

Count updates

Each release, newest first: where it was read, the votes it added and each side's share of them. The first row is the first release; negative votes are a correction.

Time (PT)	Source	Votes added	Wiener(D)	Chan(D)	Went to
Nov 7, 4:01 PM	County site	21,106	51.3%10,820	48.7%10,286	Wiener(D) +2.5
Nov 6, 4:00 PM	County site	44,790	51.4%23,044	48.6%21,746	Wiener(D) +2.9
Nov 5, 4:01 PM	County site	42,465	50.9%21,599	49.1%20,866	Wiener(D) +1.7
Nov 4, 5:47 PM	SOS	18,318	55.9%10,235	44.1%8,083	Wiener(D) +11.7
Nov 3, 11:50 PM	SOS	266	39.5%105	60.5%161	Chan(D) +21.1
Nov 3, 10:50 PM	SOS	17,268	46.1%7,968	53.9%9,300	Chan(D) +7.7
Nov 3, 9:51 PM	SOS	8,649	48.2%4,170	51.8%4,479	Chan(D) +3.6
Nov 3, 9:17 PM	SOS	131,969	57.1%75,398	42.9%56,571	Wiener(D) +14.3

Sources: County site is the county's own results feed or report; SOS is the Secretary of State's results feed.